What duration measures
Bond duration turns a fixed-income question into a price-sensitivity question: if yields move, how much might the bond price move? For a small yield change, modified duration gives a first-order estimate.
Approximate % price change ≈ −Modified duration × change in yield
The minus sign matters: yields and prices generally move in opposite directions.
One bond, three related measures
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Worked example: a 3-year coupon bond
Consider a $100 par bond with a 6% annual coupon and a 6% yield to maturity. Its price is $100. The present-value weighted cash flows give a Macaulay duration of approximately 2.83 years. With an annual yield of 6%:
Modified duration = Macaulay duration / (1 + y) = 2.83 / 1.06 ≈ 2.67
If the yield rises by 0.50 percentage points, the first-order estimate is:
%ΔPrice ≈ −2.67 × 0.005 = −1.34%
Estimated price ≈ $100 × (1 − 0.0134) = $98.67
The estimate is linear. The actual bond price change will differ because the price-yield curve has convexity.
Move the yield
$100 starting price · modified duration 2.67
First-order duration estimate; convexity is not included.
What changes duration?
- Higher coupon bonds usually have shorter duration than otherwise similar lower coupon bonds.
- Longer maturity usually increases duration.
- At the same maturity and coupon, a lower yield generally increases modified duration.
- For bonds with embedded options, effective duration is more appropriate because cash flows can change when rates move.
Check your understanding
A bond has modified duration of 4. Yield rises by 25 basis points. What is the approximate price change?
Common mistakes
- Using Macaulay duration directly as a percentage price sensitivity.
- Forgetting that 25 basis points is 0.0025, not 0.25.
- Applying the linear estimate to a very large yield move without discussing convexity.
- Assuming effective duration and modified duration are interchangeable when cash flows can change.
FAQ
Does duration tell me the exact new bond price?
No. It is a first-order approximation. Convexity improves the estimate, especially for larger yield changes.
Why is there a minus sign?
For a plain option-free bond, a higher discount rate lowers the present value of its cash flows.
What is PVBP?
PVBP expresses the approximate dollar price change for a one-basis-point yield move. It is useful when the question asks for money rather than a percentage.
Curriculum context and further reading
Quizara's CFA Level I 2027 curriculum places this concept in V6 Fixed Income → Module 11 → Modified Duration, alongside separate topics for Money Duration and Price Value of a Basis Point and Properties of Duration. The CFA Institute refresher reading distinguishes Macaulay, modified, money duration and PVBP. Use the official Yield-Based Bond Duration Measures and Properties reading to check definitions and assumptions.